Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Randy Arozarena

Seattle Mariners · LF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.71
Edge
+0.9%
Trending splitsvs LHP 33%(21)
Last 20
50%10/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.5
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
48%
28/58
Avg0.54
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
25.2%
95.8.340.42620.2%
Sweeper
24.1%
84.2.237.34219.4%
Splitter
24.0%
87.4.083.08340.0%
Curveball
16.5%
83.6.250.56331.6%
Four-seam FB
9.1%
96.3.233.39533.3%
Slider
1.1%
88.7.327.61231.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Randy Arozarena clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 58% · n=75 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Victor Robles o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 57% · n=48 · -152 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ OAK05/260vs AZ05/291vs AZ05/301vs NYM06/011vs NYM06/020@ DET06/050@ BAL06/082@ BAL06/090@ BAL06/101@ BAL06/111@ WSH06/120@ PIT06/230@ PIT06/240@ CLE06/261@ CLE06/271vs LAA06/292vs LAA06/300vs LAA07/020vs TOR07/031@ MIA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+106-105

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.511:15 AM ET11:15 AM ET
dabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6

League vs MIA Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Josh Naylor SEA07/071
Cole Young SEA07/071
Cal Raleigh SEA07/071
J.P. Crawford SEA07/071
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Luke Raley SEA07/070
Colt Emerson SEA07/070
Dominic Canzone SEA07/070
Max Muncy OAK07/052
Lawrence Butler OAK07/052
Zack Gelof OAK07/051
Jonah Heim OAK07/051
Carlos Cortes OAK07/051
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.125.174.400.286.297.357.154.429.579
Exit Velo
73.4584.3795.0583.7994.0393.2179.7793.7996.47
onBasePercentage
.125.167.423.286.289.357.154.429.579
sluggingPercentage
.125.435.600.286.541.452.154.821.789
OPS
.250.5831.000.571.816.810.3081.2501.368