Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.04
Edge
-5.2%Last 15
27%4/15 over 1.5
Window avg
0.93
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
24%
10/41
Avg0.81
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Randy Arozarena clears 1.5 Hits, these hit too
Josh Naylor o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 69% · n=40 · -258 DraftKings
Victor Robles o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 57% · n=24 · -178 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 15 vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs MIA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Cal Raleigh SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luke Raley SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| J.P. Crawford SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Cole Young SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Josh Naylor SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Colt Emerson SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Victor Robles SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dominic Canzone SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Lawrence Butler OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Carlos Cortes OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brian Serven OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
AVG