Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.04
Edge
-5.2%Last 400
4%14/323 over 2 · 77 push
Window avg
0.89
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
14%
1/7
L20
19%
3/16
2026
11%
7/66
Avg0.89
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 25.2% | 95.8 | .340 | .426 | 20.2% |
| Sweeper | 24.1% | 84.2 | .237 | .342 | 19.4% |
| Splitter | 24.0% | 87.4 | .083 | .083 | 40.0% |
| Curveball | 16.5% | 83.6 | .250 | .563 | 31.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 9.1% | 96.3 | .233 | .395 | 33.3% |
| Slider | 1.1% | 88.7 | .327 | .612 | 31.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Randy Arozarena clears 1.5 Hits, these hit too
Josh Naylor o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 69% · n=40 · -233 dabble_us_dfs
Victor Robles o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 57% · n=24 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 400 vs 2
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs MIA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Cal Raleigh SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luke Raley SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Josh Naylor SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Cole Young SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| J.P. Crawford SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Colt Emerson SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dominic Canzone SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Victor Robles SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Carlos Cortes OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brian Serven OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Lawrence Butler OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS