Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Randy Arozarena

Seattle Mariners · LF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.71
Edge
+0.9%
Last 20
30%6/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.35
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
33%
7/21
Avg0.59
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
25.2%
95.8.340.42620.2%
Sweeper
24.1%
84.2.237.34219.4%
Splitter
24.0%
87.4.083.08340.0%
Curveball
16.5%
83.6.250.56331.6%
Four-seam FB
9.1%
96.3.233.39533.3%
Slider
1.1%
88.7.327.61231.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Randy Arozarena clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 58% · n=75 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Victor Robles o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 57% · n=48 · -152 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs NYY03/300vs NYY03/310@ LAA04/030@ TEX04/081vs TEX04/190vs OAK04/210@ STL04/251@ MIN04/271vs KC05/010vs KC05/030vs ATL05/060@ CWS05/091vs CWS05/180vs CWS05/190@ KC05/220@ OAK05/260@ OAK05/270@ DET06/052@ BAL06/090@ CLE06/260.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+106-105

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.511:15 AM ET11:15 AM ET
dabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6

League vs MIA Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Cole Young SEA07/071
J.P. Crawford SEA07/071
Josh Naylor SEA07/071
Cal Raleigh SEA07/071
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Luke Raley SEA07/070
Colt Emerson SEA07/070
Dominic Canzone SEA07/070
Lawrence Butler OAK07/052
Max Muncy OAK07/052
Zack Gelof OAK07/051
Jonah Heim OAK07/051
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/051
Carlos Cortes OAK07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.125.174.400.286.297.357.154.429.579
Exit Velo
73.4584.3795.0583.7994.0393.2179.7793.7996.47
onBasePercentage
.125.167.423.286.289.357.154.429.579
sluggingPercentage
.125.435.600.286.541.452.154.821.789
OPS
.250.5831.000.571.816.810.3081.2501.368