Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.85
Edge
+12.0%Last 10
60%6/10 over 1.5
Window avg
1.90
Median
2.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
52%
24/46
Avg1.46
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Brice Turang clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=118 · -262 DraftKings
Sal Frelick o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 62% · n=142 · -243 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 10 vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs STL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jackson Chourio MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| William Contreras MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |