Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.58
Edge
-2.8%Last 10
50%5/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.50
Median
0.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
55%
48/87
Avg0.58
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .232 | .414 | 22.7% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .194 | .333 | 17.9% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .277 | .492 | 15.4% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .450 | .950 | 19.1% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .419 | .613 | 22.7% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .190 | .429 | 26.5% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .244 | .356 | 24.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Brice Turang clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=134 · -262 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 66% · n=169 · -251 DraftKings
Sal Frelick o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 62% · n=163 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 60% · base 49% · n=134 · +117 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 10 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +115 | -114 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6
League vs STL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jackson Chourio MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
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