Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.20
Edge
+5.1%All 204 games
67%136/204 over 0.5
Window avg
0.95
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
72%
33/46
Avg0.95
StreakW5
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .232 | .414 | 22.7% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .194 | .333 | 17.9% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .277 | .492 | 15.4% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .450 | .950 | 19.1% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .419 | .613 | 22.7% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .190 | .429 | 26.5% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .244 | .356 | 24.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Brice Turang clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Sal Frelick o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 62% · n=247 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 204 games vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs STL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jackson Chourio MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| William Contreras MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo