Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.47
Edge
-1.3%Last 20
11%2/19 over 5 · 1 push
Window avg
1.40
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
11%
2/19
2026
6%
5/82
Avg1.63
StreakL10
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .222 | .370 | 15.5% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .346 | .423 | 28.8% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .341 | .466 | 8.8% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .457 | .743 | 17.5% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .313 | .313 | 43.3% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .114 | .229 | 23.7% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .250 | .250 | 23.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when William Contreras clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 53% · n=137 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +129 | -172 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +130 | -170 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +140 | -139 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs STL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jackson Chourio MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS