Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

William Contreras

Milwaukee Brewers · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.47
Edge
-1.3%
Last 20
33%5/15 over 2 · 5 push
Window avg
1.95
Median
1.5
L5
33%
1/3
L10
29%
2/7
L20
33%
5/15
2026
25%
7/28
Avg1.67
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when William Contreras clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 53% · n=137 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2

away only · official box scores
1@ CHC05/193@ CHC05/200@ HOU05/292@ HOU05/300@ COL06/055@ COL06/062@ COL06/076@ OAK06/080@ OAK06/090@ OAK06/100@ ATL06/192@ ATL06/207@ ATL06/210@ CIN06/221@ CIN06/236@ CIN06/242@ AZ07/032@ AZ07/040@ STL07/060@ STL07/072

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+129-172
Bovada1.5+130-170

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs STL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Cooper Pratt MIL07/075
Christian Yelich MIL07/075
Joey Ortiz MIL07/075
Joey Ortiz MIL07/074
Jake Bauers MIL07/074
Brice Turang MIL07/074
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Sal Frelick MIL07/070
Jackson Chourio MIL07/070
Christian Yelich MIL07/070
Brice Turang MIL07/070