Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

William Contreras

Milwaukee Brewers · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.47
Edge
-1.3%
Last 20
28%5/18 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
1.65
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/3
L10
38%
3/8
L20
28%
5/18
2026
23%
10/43
Avg1.59
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when William Contreras clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 53% · n=137 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
1vs SF06/020vs SF06/030vs SF06/040@ COL06/055@ COL06/060@ OAK06/090@ OAK06/103vs PHI06/130vs CLE06/161vs CLE06/177@ ATL06/210@ CIN06/226@ CIN06/245vs CHC06/261vs CIN06/300vs CIN07/022@ AZ07/032@ AZ07/040@ STL07/060@ STL07/072

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+129-172
Bovada1.5+130-170

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs STL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Cooper Pratt MIL07/075
Joey Ortiz MIL07/075
Christian Yelich MIL07/075
Brice Turang MIL07/074
Jake Bauers MIL07/074
Joey Ortiz MIL07/074
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Jackson Chourio MIL07/070
Brice Turang MIL07/070
Sal Frelick MIL07/070
Christian Yelich MIL07/070