Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

William Contreras

Milwaukee Brewers · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.47
Edge
-1.3%
Last 20
45%9/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.75
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
38%
6/16
Avg1.84
StreakL5

Parlay pairs — when William Contreras clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 53% · n=137 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

home only · official box scores
3vs CHC10/045vs CHC10/064vs CHC10/110vs LAD10/132vs CWS03/290vs TB03/314vs WSH04/112vs TOR04/160vs AZ04/291vs NYY05/081vs NYY05/106vs LAD05/221vs STL05/252vs PHI06/123vs PHI06/140vs CLE06/180vs CHC06/270vs CHC06/280vs CIN06/291vs CIN07/011.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+129-172
Bovada1.5+130-170

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs STL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Joey Ortiz MIL07/075
Christian Yelich MIL07/075
Cooper Pratt MIL07/075
Brice Turang MIL07/074
Jake Bauers MIL07/074
Joey Ortiz MIL07/074
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Cooper Pratt MIL07/070
Jackson Chourio MIL07/070
Sal Frelick MIL07/070
Christian Yelich MIL07/070