Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

William Contreras

Milwaukee Brewers · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.47
Edge
-1.3%
Last 20
55%11/20 over 1.5
Window avg
2.20
Median
2.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
54%
7/13
Avg1.66
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when William Contreras clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 53% · n=137 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
8vs CHC07/309vs NYM08/104@ CIN08/170@ CHC08/210vs SF08/241vs PHI09/043vs CHC10/042vs CWS03/293@ KC04/052vs TOR04/162@ DET04/231@ WSH05/020@ WSH05/031vs NYY05/101vs STL05/252@ COL06/073vs PHI06/140vs CLE06/182@ ATL06/200vs CHC06/281.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+129-172
Bovada1.5+130-170

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs STL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Joey Ortiz MIL07/075
Cooper Pratt MIL07/075
Christian Yelich MIL07/075
Brice Turang MIL07/074
Jake Bauers MIL07/074
Joey Ortiz MIL07/074
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Cooper Pratt MIL07/070
Christian Yelich MIL07/070
Jake Bauers MIL07/070
Sal Frelick MIL07/070