Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

William Contreras

Milwaukee Brewers · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.47
Edge
-1.3%
Last 16
50%8/16 over 1.5
Window avg
1.31
Median
1.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
8/16
2026
33%
1/3
Avg1.31
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when William Contreras clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 53% · n=137 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 16 vs 1.5

home only · vs STL only · official box scores
3vs STL05/092vs STL05/102vs STL05/112vs STL05/120vs STL09/020vs STL09/030vs STL09/040vs STL06/122vs STL06/134vs STL06/140vs STL06/150vs STL09/122vs STL09/131vs STL05/253vs STL05/260vs STL05/271.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+129-172
Bovada1.5+130-170

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs STL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Cooper Pratt MIL07/075
Joey Ortiz MIL07/075
Christian Yelich MIL07/075
Brice Turang MIL07/074
Jake Bauers MIL07/074
Joey Ortiz MIL07/074
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Jackson Chourio MIL07/070
Sal Frelick MIL07/070
Brice Turang MIL07/070
Christian Yelich MIL07/070