Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jarren Duran

Boston Red Sox · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.30
Edge
-5.9%
Last 20
25%5/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.40
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
31%
9/29
Avg1.62
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Jarren Duran clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=25 · -194 DraftKings
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 59% · n=74 · -186 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
0vs DET04/201@ BAL04/250@ BAL04/260@ TOR04/291vs HOU05/025vs HOU05/031vs TB05/103@ ATL05/171vs MIN05/231vs MIN05/241vs ATL05/285@ CLE05/304@ CLE05/310vs BAL06/040@ NYY06/071@ TB06/104vs TEX06/130vs TOR06/180@ SEA06/210vs NYY06/271.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+152-200

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Steven Kwan CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.400.409.842.333.618.577.174.579.429
Exit Velo
101.9589.0584.3992.7195.6286.1288.0191.9494.39
AVG
.100.318.368.292.265.346.130.211.214
onBasePercentage
.182.292.350.320.257.357.130.211.214
OPS
.545.6671.150.640.857.893.304.789.643