Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jarren Duran

Boston Red Sox · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.71
Edge
-10.0%
Last 203
67%135/203 over 0.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
49%
21/43
Avg1.00
StreakW2

Hitslast 203 vs 0.5

away only · official box scores
0@ BAL04/260@ TOR04/270@ TOR04/280@ TOR04/293@ DET05/040@ DET05/050@ DET05/060@ ATL05/151@ ATL05/162@ ATL05/170@ KC05/182@ KC05/192@ KC05/201@ CLE05/292@ CLE05/301@ CLE05/311@ NYY06/050@ NYY06/070@ TB06/081@ TB06/091@ TB06/101@ SEA06/190@ SEA06/200@ SEA06/210@ COL06/220@ COL06/230@ LAA07/030@ LAA07/042@ LAA07/052@ CWS07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-184+137
BetOnline0.5-192+145

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.400.409.842.333.618.577.174.579.429
Exit Velo
101.9589.0584.3992.7195.6286.1288.0191.9494.39
AVG
.100.318.368.292.265.346.130.211.214
onBasePercentage
.182.292.350.320.257.357.130.211.214
OPS
.545.6671.150.640.857.893.304.789.643