Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jarren Duran

Boston Red Sox · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.71
Edge
-10.0%
All 133 games
67%89/133 over 0.5
Window avg
0.97
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
62%
18/29
Avg0.97
StreakL3

Hitsall 133 games vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs DET09/282@ CIN03/260@ CIN03/280@ CIN03/291@ HOU04/011vs SD04/031vs SD04/041vs SD04/051@ STL04/120@ MIN04/150vs DET04/201@ BAL04/250@ BAL04/260@ TOR04/291vs HOU05/022vs HOU05/031vs TB05/102@ ATL05/171vs MIN05/231vs MIN05/241vs ATL05/282@ CLE05/301@ CLE05/310vs BAL06/040@ NYY06/071@ TB06/101vs TEX06/130vs TOR06/180@ SEA06/210vs NYY06/270.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-184+137
BetOnline0.5-192+145

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.400.409.842.333.618.577.174.579.429
Exit Velo
101.9589.0584.3992.7195.6286.1288.0191.9494.39
AVG
.100.318.368.292.265.346.130.211.214
onBasePercentage
.182.292.350.320.257.357.130.211.214
OPS
.545.6671.150.640.857.893.304.789.643