Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jarren Duran

Boston Red Sox · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.30
Edge
-5.9%
Last 15
13%2/15 over 1.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
29%
24/82
Avg1.80
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Jarren Duran clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=25 · -194 DraftKings
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 59% · n=74 · -186 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 15 vs 1.5

official box scores
1@ SEA06/190@ SEA06/200@ SEA06/210@ COL06/220@ COL06/231vs NYY06/251vs NYY06/260vs NYY06/271vs NYY06/280vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/300@ LAA07/030@ LAA07/045@ LAA07/053@ CWS07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+152-200

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.400.409.842.333.618.577.174.579.429
Exit Velo
101.9589.0584.3992.7195.6286.1288.0191.9494.39
AVG
.100.318.368.292.265.346.130.211.214
onBasePercentage
.182.292.350.320.257.357.130.211.214
OPS
.545.6671.150.640.857.893.304.789.643