Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jarren Duran

Boston Red Sox · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.71
Edge
-10.0%
Trending splitsvs LHP 32%(19)
Last 10
20%2/10 over 1.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
0.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
17%
14/82
Avg1.04
StreakW2

Hitslast 10 vs 1.5

official box scores
1vs NYY06/251vs NYY06/260vs NYY06/271vs NYY06/280vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/300@ LAA07/030@ LAA07/042@ LAA07/052@ CWS07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-184+137
BetOnline0.5-192+145

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.400.409.842.333.618.577.174.579.429
Exit Velo
101.9589.0584.3992.7195.6286.1288.0191.9494.39
AVG
.100.318.368.292.265.346.130.211.214
onBasePercentage
.182.292.350.320.257.357.130.211.214
OPS
.545.6671.150.640.857.893.304.789.643