Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jarren Duran

Boston Red Sox · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.30
Edge
-5.9%
Last 400
58%171/293 over 1 · 107 push
Window avg
1.80
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
29%
2/7
L20
27%
4/15
2026
41%
24/59
Avg1.80
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Jarren Duran clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=25 · -194 DraftKings
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 59% · n=74 · -186 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 400 vs 1

official box scores
4@ CLE05/313vs BAL06/021vs BAL06/030vs BAL06/041@ NYY06/050@ NYY06/070@ TB06/081@ TB06/091@ TB06/101vs TEX06/124vs TEX06/131vs TEX06/145vs TOR06/160vs TOR06/170vs TOR06/181@ SEA06/190@ SEA06/200@ SEA06/210@ COL06/220@ COL06/231vs NYY06/251vs NYY06/260vs NYY06/271vs NYY06/280vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/300@ LAA07/030@ LAA07/045@ LAA07/053@ CWS07/071

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+152-200

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.400.409.842.333.618.577.174.579.429
Exit Velo
101.9589.0584.3992.7195.6286.1288.0191.9494.39
AVG
.100.318.368.292.265.346.130.211.214
onBasePercentage
.182.292.350.320.257.357.130.211.214
OPS
.545.6671.150.640.857.893.304.789.643