Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jarren Duran

Boston Red Sox · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.71
Edge
-10.0%
Last 20
70%14/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.95
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
67%
26/39
Avg1.08
StreakL2

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
1vs MIN05/231vs MIN05/242vs ATL05/264vs ATL05/271vs ATL05/281vs BAL06/021vs BAL06/030vs BAL06/041vs TEX06/121vs TEX06/131vs TEX06/142vs TOR06/160vs TOR06/170vs TOR06/181vs NYY06/251vs NYY06/260vs NYY06/271vs NYY06/280vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/300.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-184+137
BetOnline0.5-192+145

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.400.409.842.333.618.577.174.579.429
Exit Velo
101.9589.0584.3992.7195.6286.1288.0191.9494.39
AVG
.100.318.368.292.265.346.130.211.214
onBasePercentage
.182.292.350.320.257.357.130.211.214
OPS
.545.6671.150.640.857.893.304.789.643