Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.30
Edge
-5.9%All 295 games
44%129/295 over 1.5
Window avg
1.84
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
29%
18/63
Avg1.84
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 26.0% | 92.7 | .174 | .430 | 34.8% |
| Sinker | 17.9% | 90.8 | .400 | .650 | 21.5% |
| Changeup | 14.8% | 88.7 | .167 | .333 | 37.2% |
| Slider | 14.5% | 85.3 | .100 | .160 | 47.3% |
| Cutter | 13.5% | 87.0 | .259 | .407 | 22.6% |
| Curveball | 13.3% | 80.7 | .205 | .359 | 42.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jarren Duran clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=25 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 59% · n=74 · -186 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 295 games vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +152 | -200 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs CWS — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Andruw Monasterio BOS | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Romy Gonzalez BOS | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Connor Wong BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Caleb Durbin BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Wilyer Abreu BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gabriel Arias CLE | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Daniel Schneemann CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kahlil Watson CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Patrick Bailey CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS