Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jarren Duran

Boston Red Sox · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.71
Edge
-10.0%
Trending splitsAway 50%(40)
Last 30
67%20/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.93
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
59%
37/63
Avg1.04
StreakW1

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ ATL05/170@ KC05/182@ KC05/201vs MIN05/231vs MIN05/242vs ATL05/264vs ATL05/271@ CLE05/291@ CLE05/311vs BAL06/021vs BAL06/030@ NYY06/071@ TB06/091@ TB06/101vs TEX06/121vs TEX06/131vs TEX06/142vs TOR06/160vs TOR06/170vs TOR06/181@ SEA06/190@ SEA06/200@ SEA06/210@ COL06/221vs NYY06/251vs NYY06/260vs NYY06/270vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/302@ LAA07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-184+137
BetOnline0.5-192+145

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.400.409.842.333.618.577.174.579.429
Exit Velo
101.9589.0584.3992.7195.6286.1288.0191.9494.39
AVG
.100.318.368.292.265.346.130.211.214
onBasePercentage
.182.292.350.320.257.357.130.211.214
OPS
.545.6671.150.640.857.893.304.789.643