Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jarren Duran

Boston Red Sox · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.30
Edge
-5.9%
Last 20
30%6/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.45
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
31%
4/13
Avg1.76
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Jarren Duran clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=25 · -194 DraftKings
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 59% · n=74 · -186 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
2@ BAL08/271vs CLE09/030@ AZ09/052@ OAK09/091vs OAK09/160@ NYY09/301@ NYY10/015vs NYY04/226@ DET05/040@ DET05/050vs PHI05/146@ KC05/190vs MIN05/221@ NYY06/050@ TB06/080@ COL06/231vs NYY06/280@ LAA07/030@ LAA07/043@ CWS07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+152-200

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.400.409.842.333.618.577.174.579.429
Exit Velo
101.9589.0584.3992.7195.6286.1288.0191.9494.39
AVG
.100.318.368.292.265.346.130.211.214
onBasePercentage
.182.292.350.320.257.357.130.211.214
OPS
.545.6671.150.640.857.893.304.789.643