Jackson Merrill

San Diego Padres · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.42

Edge

-9.6%

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last20

Trending splits

All 186 games

40%75/186 over 0.5

Window avg

0.48

Median

0.0

60%

3/5

L10

50%

5/10

L20

35%

7/20

2026

40%

18/45

Avg0.48

StreakW2

Runs Scored — all 186 games vs 0.5

home only · official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 71% · base 64% · n=115 · -210 BetRivers

Manny Machado o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 70% · base 63% · n=145 · -182 DraftKings

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=131 · -150 BetMGM

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=131 · -150 BetMGM

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
BetMGM	+110	-150
DK Pick6	-137	—
Betr Picks	-137	—

Runs Scored · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

BetMGMDabbleBetr PicksDK Pick6

League vs AZ — Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Fernando Tatis Jr. SD	07/08	1	✓

Merrill's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .353 middle-and-in · Weakness: .091 up-and-in

AVG

sluggingPercentage

Exit Velo

onBasePercentage

OPS