Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.14
Edge
-2.9%Last 20
15%3/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.15
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
19%
5/27
Avg0.19
StreakL4
Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 28.8% | 89.6 | .000 | .000 | 40.3% |
| Four-seam FB | 26.8% | 93.4 | .193 | .321 | 30.4% |
| Sweeper | 16.1% | 83.4 | .125 | .250 | 23.2% |
| Curveball | 12.7% | 86.3 | .235 | .294 | 29.4% |
| Changeup | 7.8% | 86.7 | .234 | .383 | 29.7% |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 93.0 | .419 | .581 | 10.6% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 74% · base 56% · n=23 · -137 Betr Picks
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=48 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 54% · n=23 · -148 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +525 | -500 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS