Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.94
Edge
-2.2%Last 30
67%20/30 over 0.5
Window avg
1.13
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
90%
9/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
67%
18/27
Avg1.03
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 28.8% | 89.6 | .000 | .000 | 40.3% |
| Four-seam FB | 26.8% | 93.4 | .193 | .321 | 30.4% |
| Sweeper | 16.1% | 83.4 | .125 | .250 | 23.2% |
| Curveball | 12.7% | 86.3 | .235 | .294 | 29.4% |
| Changeup | 7.8% | 86.7 | .234 | .383 | 29.7% |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 93.0 | .419 | .581 | 10.6% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=224 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 58% · n=201 · -141 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 30 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs AZ — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS