Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.38
Edge
-14.8%All 365 games
0%0/361 over 3 · 4 push
Window avg
0.50
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/86
Avg0.50
StreakL79
Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 28.8% | 89.6 | .000 | .000 | 40.3% |
| Four-seam FB | 26.8% | 93.4 | .193 | .321 | 30.4% |
| Sweeper | 16.1% | 83.4 | .125 | .250 | 23.2% |
| Curveball | 12.7% | 86.3 | .235 | .294 | 29.4% |
| Changeup | 7.8% | 86.7 | .234 | .383 | 29.7% |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 93.0 | .419 | .581 | 10.6% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 71% · n=116 · -258 DraftKings
Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 64% · n=114 · -154 dabble_us_dfs
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 63% · n=145 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Rodolfo Durán o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 30% · n=8 · +107 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — all 365 games vs 3
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +115 | -114 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6
League vs AZ — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Rodolfo Durán SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS