Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jackson Merrill

San Diego Padres · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.52
Edge
+2.8%
Trending splitsDay 33%(27)
Last 20
20%4/20 over 2.5
Window avg
1.65
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
22%
19/87
Avg1.70
StreakL4

Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=150 · -180 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2.5

official box scores
2@ STL06/166@ STL06/170@ TEX06/193@ TEX06/202@ TEX06/210vs ATL06/222vs ATL06/230vs ATL06/240vs LAD06/262vs LAD06/271vs LAD06/281@ CHC06/291@ CHC06/300@ CHC07/014@ LAD07/025@ LAD07/030@ LAD07/041@ LAD07/052vs AZ07/061vs AZ07/072.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+133-177

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jake Cronenworth SD07/074
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/072
Luis Campusano SD07/072
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Ty France SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/060