Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.52
Edge
+2.8%Last 30
29%7/24 over 2 · 6 push
Window avg
1.57
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
22%
2/9
L20
27%
4/15
2026
26%
19/73
Avg1.70
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 28.8% | 89.6 | .000 | .000 | 40.3% |
| Four-seam FB | 26.8% | 93.4 | .193 | .321 | 30.4% |
| Sweeper | 16.1% | 83.4 | .125 | .250 | 23.2% |
| Curveball | 12.7% | 86.3 | .235 | .294 | 29.4% |
| Changeup | 7.8% | 86.7 | .234 | .383 | 29.7% |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 93.0 | .419 | .581 | 10.6% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=150 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 30 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +133 | -177 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +125 | -123 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs AZ — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS