Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jackson Merrill

San Diego Padres · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.52
Edge
+2.8%
Last 20
69%11/16 over 1 · 4 push
Window avg
1.90
Median
2.0
L5
75%
3/4
L10
88%
7/8
L20
69%
11/16
2026
59%
13/22
Avg1.87
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=150 · -180 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
0@ COL04/232@ AZ04/260vs CHC04/291vs CWS05/032@ SF05/061vs STL05/100vs OAK05/243vs PHI05/270@ WSH05/303@ WSH05/314@ PHI06/041vs NYM06/073vs CIN06/104@ BAL06/132@ BAL06/146@ STL06/173@ TEX06/202@ TEX06/211vs LAD06/280@ CHC07/011

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+133-177

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jake Cronenworth SD07/074
Luis Campusano SD07/072
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/072
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Manny Machado SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Sung-Mun Song SD07/060