Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.52
Edge
+2.8%All 271 games
43%116/271 over 1.5
Window avg
1.71
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
40%
28/70
Avg1.71
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=150 · -180 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 271 games vs 1.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |