Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.94
Edge
-2.1%Last 20
42%5/12 over 1 · 8 push
Window avg
0.95
Median
1.0
L5
67%
2/3
L10
50%
3/6
L20
42%
5/12
2026
31%
14/45
Avg0.99
Streak—
Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=224 · -180 DraftKings
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 58% · n=201 · -162 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |