Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jackson Merrill

San Diego Padres · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.52
Edge
+2.8%
Last 10
30%3/10 over 1.5
Window avg
1.10
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
29%
5/17
Avg1.66
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=150 · -180 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 10 vs 1.5

official box scores
0vs PHI05/253vs PHI05/270@ WSH05/301@ PHI06/030vs CIN06/082@ BAL06/143@ TEX06/200vs ATL06/241@ CHC06/291@ CHC06/301.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+133-177

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jake Cronenworth SD07/074
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/072
Luis Campusano SD07/072
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Sung-Mun Song SD07/060