Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jackson Merrill

San Diego Padres · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.52
Edge
+2.8%
Last 28
39%11/28 over 1.5
Window avg
1.46
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
50%
2/4
Avg1.46
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=150 · -180 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 28 vs 1.5

vs AZ only · official box scores
2@ AZ05/032@ AZ05/045@ AZ05/052vs AZ06/061vs AZ06/074vs AZ06/081vs AZ06/093vs AZ07/051vs AZ07/061vs AZ07/073@ AZ09/271@ AZ09/291@ AZ06/131@ AZ06/140vs AZ07/070vs AZ07/080vs AZ07/090vs AZ07/102@ AZ08/041@ AZ08/050@ AZ08/061vs AZ09/260vs AZ09/274vs AZ09/280@ AZ04/252@ AZ04/262vs AZ07/061vs AZ07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+133-177

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jake Cronenworth SD07/074
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/072
Luis Campusano SD07/072
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Sung-Mun Song SD07/060