Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.94
Edge
-2.1%Last 20
65%13/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
75%
3/4
Avg1.00
StreakW3
Parlay pairs — when Jackson Merrill clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=224 · -180 DraftKings
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 58% · n=201 · -162 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
vs AZ only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |