Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Richie Palacios

Tampa Bay Rays · RF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.05
Edge
+12.1%
All 22 games
27%6/22 over 0.5
Window avg
0.45
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
38%
3/8
Avg0.45
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
44.0%
93.5.250.30017.3%
Slider
18.5%
87.2.286.57117.9%
Changeup
15.5%
83.7.346.46241.8%
Knuckle Curve
14.3%
81.2
Sinker
7.8%
90.6.172.2073.9%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Richie Palacios clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 62% · n=44 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=32 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=32 · -149 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Basesall 22 games vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs LAA04/150vs NYY05/111vs OAK05/300@ BAL06/020vs BAL06/073@ ATL06/140@ TEX07/060vs CIN07/260vs CIN07/270@ DET09/240vs CLE09/070@ CHC09/120vs BOS09/191@ BAL09/250@ STL03/260vs CIN04/220@ TOR05/122vs BAL05/180@ NYY05/240vs BOS06/081vs BOS06/092vs WSH06/190.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
PrizePicks0.5-137-137
Betr Picks0.5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5-104+105
BetOnline0.5-118-110

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlinePrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs

League vs NYY Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Victor Mesa Jr. TB07/075
Yandy Díaz TB07/075
Hunter Feduccia TB07/074
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Cedric Mullins TB07/070
Chandler Simpson TB07/070
Junior Caminero TB07/070
Jonathan Aranda TB07/070
Jonny DeLuca TB07/061
Chandler Simpson TB07/061
Nick Fortes TB07/060
Jonathan Aranda TB07/060
Junior Caminero TB07/060
Cedric Mullins TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.375.211.182.200.438.294.300.308.000
Exit Velo
90.9089.4476.8686.3387.9482.1092.2776.3682.54
AVG
.375.211.182.200.438.294.300.250.000
sluggingPercentage
.625.368.182.200.875.353.300.250.000
OPS
1.000.579.364.4001.313.647.600.538.000