Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.77
Edge
+4.0%Last 20
30%6/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
38%
3/8
Avg0.36
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 44.0% | 93.5 | .250 | .300 | 17.3% |
| Slider | 18.5% | 87.2 | .286 | .571 | 17.9% |
| Changeup | 15.5% | 83.7 | .346 | .462 | 41.8% |
| Knuckle Curve | 14.3% | 81.2 | — | — | — |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 90.6 | .172 | .207 | 3.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Richie Palacios clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 62% · n=44 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=32 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=32 · -149 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -114 | -116 |
| PrizePicks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Underdog | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -104 | +105 |
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -130 | +100 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsUnderdogPrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs NYY — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Victor Mesa Jr. TB | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Taylor Walls TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Hunter Feduccia TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Junior Caminero TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonny DeLuca TB | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nick Fortes TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS