Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.01
Edge
+8.2%All 196 games
66%130/196 over 0.5
Window avg
0.98
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
64%
27/42
Avg0.98
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.1% | 97.7 | .221 | .504 | 39.5% |
| Slider | 29.1% | 89.3 | .209 | .419 | 35.9% |
| Changeup | 11.3% | 83.6 | .237 | .342 | 13.2% |
| Sinker | 9.8% | 96.3 | .304 | .478 | 13.2% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.3% | 82.7 | — | — | — |
| Sweeper | 4.4% | 84.2 | .172 | .379 | 32.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Rafael Devers clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Casey Schmitt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 63% · n=100 · -178 DraftKings
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=93 · -180 DraftKings
Jung Hoo Lee o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=107 · -213 DraftKings
Willy Adames o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=114 · -125 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 196 games vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs TOR — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Casey Schmitt SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willy Adames SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Drew Cavanaugh SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willy Adames SF | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS