Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.30
Edge
-6.5%Last 20
35%7/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.65
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
38%
3/8
Avg1.65
StreakL4
Parlay pairs — when Christian Yelich clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 70% · n=95 · -262 DraftKings
Sal Frelick o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 65% · n=107 · -243 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=121 · -251 DraftKings
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 54% · n=94 · -132 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs STL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| William Contreras MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Chourio MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |