Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.30
Edge
-6.5%Trending splitsDay 38%(13)
Last 10
22%2/9 over 2 · 1 push
Window avg
1.10
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
22%
2/9
L20
22%
4/18
2026
30%
14/46
Avg1.69
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .263 | .404 | 25.9% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .294 | .588 | 30.0% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .233 | .256 | 15.1% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .276 | .310 | 32.4% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .267 | .467 | 45.8% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .200 | .433 | 38.8% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .103 | .207 | 52.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Christian Yelich clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 70% · n=95 · -262 DraftKings
Sal Frelick o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 65% · n=107 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=121 · -251 DraftKings
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 54% · n=94 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 10 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +115 | -153 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +115 | -150 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +139 | -137 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs STL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| William Contreras MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS