Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Christian Yelich

Milwaukee Brewers · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.30
Edge
-6.5%
Trending splitsDay 67%(15)
Last 290
53%122/229 over 1 · 61 push
Window avg
1.69
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
33%
6/18
2026
49%
26/53
Avg1.69
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Christian Yelich clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Jackson Chourio o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 70% · n=95 · -262 DraftKings
Sal Frelick o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 65% · n=107 · -243 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=121 · -251 DraftKings
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 54% · n=94 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 290 vs 1

official box scores
3vs SF06/012vs SF06/022vs SF06/033vs SF06/040@ COL06/052@ COL06/062@ OAK06/082@ OAK06/092@ OAK06/100vs PHI06/121vs PHI06/130vs CLE06/165vs CLE06/172vs CLE06/181@ ATL06/190@ ATL06/210@ CIN06/220@ CIN06/243vs CHC06/260vs CHC06/272vs CHC06/280vs CIN06/290vs CIN06/300vs CIN07/020@ AZ07/034@ AZ07/040@ AZ07/050@ STL07/060@ STL07/075@ STL07/071

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+115-153
Bovada1.5+115-150

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs STL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Joey Ortiz MIL07/075
Cooper Pratt MIL07/075
Brice Turang MIL07/074
Jake Bauers MIL07/074
Joey Ortiz MIL07/074
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Cooper Pratt MIL07/070
Jake Bauers MIL07/070
Jackson Chourio MIL07/070
Brice Turang MIL07/070
William Contreras MIL07/070