Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.30
Edge
-6.5%Last 13
62%8/13 over 1.5
Window avg
2.54
Median
2.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
62%
8/13
2026
67%
2/3
Avg2.54
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Christian Yelich clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 70% · n=95 · -262 DraftKings
Sal Frelick o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 65% · n=107 · -243 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=121 · -251 DraftKings
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 54% · n=94 · -132 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 13 vs 1.5
home only · vs STL only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs STL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Chourio MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |