Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.83
Edge
+9.5%All 326 games
29%94/326 over 2.5
Window avg
1.82
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
29%
25/85
Avg1.82
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 38.0% | 85.3 | .224 | .517 | 38.9% |
| Four-seam FB | 31.7% | 94.2 | .280 | .671 | 33.0% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 93.1 | .267 | .333 | 21.3% |
| Curveball | 8.1% | 82.9 | .314 | .571 | 37.7% |
| Cutter | 6.5% | 92.2 | .296 | .481 | 29.4% |
| Changeup | 5.5% | 89.6 | .231 | .590 | 32.6% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Total Bases — all 326 games vs 2.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +110 | -146 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +119 | -118 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +110 | -145 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadaBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs ATL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 13 | ✓ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jake Mangum PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Bryan Reynolds PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 6 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ronny Mauricio NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
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