Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Brandon Lowe

Pittsburgh Pirates · 2B · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.83
Edge
+9.5%
Last 15
46%6/13 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
2.00
Median
2.0
L5
67%
2/3
L10
38%
3/8
L20
41%
7/17
2026
36%
25/70
Avg1.82
StreakW2

Total Baseslast 15 vs 2

official box scores
3@ COL06/201@ COL06/213vs SEA06/231vs SEA06/245vs SEA06/250vs CIN06/264vs CIN06/270vs CIN06/280@ PHI06/291@ PHI07/012@ PHI07/022@ WSH07/031@ WSH07/044@ WSH07/053vs ATL07/072

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+110-146
Betr Picks1.5-137
Bovada1.5+110-145

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET9:38 AM ET
DraftKingsBovadaBetr Picks

League vs ATL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ryan O'Hearn PIT07/0713
Nick Gonzales PIT07/072
Tyler Callihan PIT07/072
Jake Mangum PIT07/071
Jared Triolo PIT07/071
Esmerlyn Valdez PIT07/071
Bryan Reynolds PIT07/070
Henry Davis PIT07/070
Carson Benge NYM07/066
Juan Soto NYM07/064
Bo Bichette NYM07/062
Francisco Alvarez NYM07/062
Jared Young NYM07/061
Ronny Mauricio NYM07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.529.444.882.659.854.654.080.500.813
Exit Velo
92.2895.2891.3892.4099.6988.2287.6490.0593.92
AVG
.235.222.353.341.317.346.080.344.250
onBasePercentage
.235.200.353.333.310.346.080.344.250
OPS
.765.6001.235.9761.1431.000.160.8441.063