Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.01
Edge
-1.1%Last 326
40%72/180 over 1 · 146 push
Window avg
0.94
Median
1.0
L5
100%
2/2
L10
40%
2/5
L20
56%
5/9
2026
44%
22/50
Avg0.94
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Brandon Lowe clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=59 · -214 DraftKings
Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 65% · n=53 · -232 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 326 vs 1
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs ATL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Mangum PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Reynolds PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS