Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Brandon Lowe

Pittsburgh Pirates · 2B · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.83
Edge
+9.5%
Last 20
35%7/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.30
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
20%
1/5
Avg1.17
StreakL3

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
0@ TEX07/060@ NYY07/224vs CIN07/274@ DET09/241vs COL03/280@ NYY05/032@ HOU05/314vs MIA06/070vs MIA06/081vs DET06/210vs LAD08/022@ LAA08/060vs STL08/243vs CLE09/071@ CHC09/141@ NYM03/282vs WSH04/160vs PHI05/160@ TOR05/231@ WSH07/041.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+110-146
Bovada1.5+110-145

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs ATL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ryan O'Hearn PIT07/0713
Tyler Callihan PIT07/072
Nick Gonzales PIT07/072
Esmerlyn Valdez PIT07/071
Jake Mangum PIT07/071
Jared Triolo PIT07/071
Henry Davis PIT07/070
Bryan Reynolds PIT07/070
Carson Benge NYM07/066
Juan Soto NYM07/064
Francisco Alvarez NYM07/062
Bo Bichette NYM07/062
Ronny Mauricio NYM07/061
Brett Baty NYM07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.529.444.882.659.854.654.080.500.813
Exit Velo
92.2895.2891.3892.4099.6988.2287.6490.0593.92
AVG
.235.222.353.341.317.346.080.344.250
onBasePercentage
.235.200.353.333.310.346.080.344.250
OPS
.765.6001.235.9761.1431.000.160.8441.063