Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Brandon Lowe

Pittsburgh Pirates · 2B · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.83
Edge
+9.5%
Last 20
20%3/15 over 2 · 5 push
Window avg
1.30
Median
1.0
L5
33%
1/3
L10
17%
1/6
L20
20%
3/15
2026
17%
2/12
Avg1.46
StreakL1

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
1@ CHC09/141vs BOS09/204vs BOS09/211@ NYM03/280@ CIN03/314vs WSH04/142vs WSH04/160@ SF05/080vs COL05/130vs PHI05/162@ STL05/190@ TOR05/232vs CHC05/260@ ATL06/050vs LAD06/094vs LAD06/112@ COL06/190vs CIN06/262@ WSH07/031@ WSH07/042

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+110-146
Bovada1.5+110-145

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs ATL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ryan O'Hearn PIT07/0713
Tyler Callihan PIT07/072
Nick Gonzales PIT07/072
Jake Mangum PIT07/071
Jared Triolo PIT07/071
Esmerlyn Valdez PIT07/071
Henry Davis PIT07/070
Bryan Reynolds PIT07/070
Carson Benge NYM07/066
Juan Soto NYM07/064
Bo Bichette NYM07/062
Francisco Alvarez NYM07/062
Brett Baty NYM07/061
Jared Young NYM07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.529.444.882.659.854.654.080.500.813
Exit Velo
92.2895.2891.3892.4099.6988.2287.6490.0593.92
AVG
.235.222.353.341.317.346.080.344.250
onBasePercentage
.235.200.353.333.310.346.080.344.250
OPS
.765.6001.235.9761.1431.000.160.8441.063