Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.63
Edge
+0.5%Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
57%
23/40
Avg0.58
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .270 | .476 | 25.6% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .364 | .545 | 13.7% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .367 | .612 | 10.6% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .182 | .455 | 34.5% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .333 | .600 | 25.0% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .156 | .469 | 26.3% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .323 | .387 | 24.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jackson Chourio clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 65% · n=154 · -251 DraftKings
Sal Frelick o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=149 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Brice Turang o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 64% · n=160 · -225 DraftKings
Cooper Pratt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 50% · n=11 · -146 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +117 | -116 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6
League vs STL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo