Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.19
Edge
+4.9%Last 5
20%1/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.20
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
19%
11/57
Avg0.17
StreakL4
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .270 | .476 | 25.6% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .364 | .545 | 13.7% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .367 | .612 | 10.6% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .182 | .455 | 34.5% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .333 | .600 | 25.0% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .156 | .469 | 26.3% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .323 | .387 | 24.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +734 | -714 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs STL — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| William Contreras MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
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