Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.96
Edge
+5.6%Trending splitsDay 50%(10)
Last 20
58%7/12 over 1 · 8 push
Window avg
1.60
Median
1.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
3/6
L20
58%
7/12
2026
65%
24/37
Avg1.90
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .270 | .476 | 25.6% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .364 | .545 | 13.7% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .367 | .612 | 10.6% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .182 | .455 | 34.5% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .333 | .600 | 25.0% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .156 | .469 | 26.3% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .323 | .387 | 24.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jackson Chourio clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
William Contreras o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 66% · base 62% · n=147 · -137 Betr Picks
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +110 | -147 |
| PrizePicks | 1.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +110 | -145 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +118 | -118 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsPrizePicksBetr Picks
League vs STL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
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